Overview

A consistent research methodology is followed across all industry reports at FMI. We begin by defining the scope, followed by data gathering. Rigorous validation is then applied. Models are reconciled to ensure coherence, and key performance indicators are computed. The final stage involves publishing full lineage, which makes the outcome auditable and repeatable

What is fixed upfront

Scope, taxonomy, units (value/volume), seven regions and thirty countries, base year, and time granularity.

How content is organized on this page

At FMI, B2B data collection and validation are presented first. B2C and retail signals without EPOS appear next. Mathematical models come last, supported by equations and checks. The sequence concludes with sources, cadence, and FAQs.

Scope locked Assumptions visible Lineage chips

B2B (All Industries)

2.1 What is collected

Our data stack begins with primary interviews and surveys, along with regulator and institutional datasets. Trade and production series, logistics records, tender data, and developer or app telemetry are incorporated where relevant. Company filings and plant registries are included. E commerce scraping is avoided unless explicitly licensed.

2.2 How data is collected

We field primary research in structured waves with samples stratified by region, size, channel, and product family. Institutional datasets are ingested through public APIs or licensed feeds, with dates and licenses logged. Ecosystem signals from B2B marketplaces, distributor portals, AIS lanes, and tender boards are captured under applicable terms of service. Company masters and product masters are maintained throughout. Deterministic keys are applied, and fuzzy matches are adjudicated by analysts.

2.3 When Reports are Updated

Prices, shipping patterns, and outages are updated weekly. Monthly cycles cover trade flows, production activity, and category mixes. Our quarterly rhythm focuses on capacity, installed base, and baseline metrics. Shocks trigger ad hoc updates whenever required.

2.4 Domain lenses (kept short; full detail is provided in reports)

We apply focused domain lenses across sectors. In Automotive and EV, production and registrations are reconciled, and tier 1 and tier 2 shipments are linked with recalls, charging sessions, and battery MWh. In Chemicals and Materials, capacity, utilization, spreads, and HS level flows are triangulated, with turnarounds monitored continuously. Healthcare coverage ties approvals, device UDI, trials, procedure volumes, and payer schedules into a single chain. Technology and Semis work combines filings, deployment telemetry, app installs, and fab or node datasets. Packaging, Food, Energy, Logistics, and Industrial categories follow standard FMI practice to close supply, demand, and price.

A friendly note: assumptions are never hidden and receive their own box.

Interactive: Price–Volume scenario

Reduces ASP by intensity × 0.25%

Scaled: −(value / 100). Higher = more sensitive

Value = 56,745,000
0 25% 50% 75% 100% Promo → Value Index
Domain Primary signals Institutional / ecosystem Cadence
Automotive & EV Production, registrations, Tier-1/2 shipments, charging sessions, battery MWh OICA; ACEA/JAMA/SIAM; IEA EV; NHTSA/KBA; UN Comtrade HS 84–87 Monthly–Quarterly; EV weekly when available
Chemicals & Materials Capacity, utilization, spreads, HS flows, turnarounds IEA/EIA; USGS; Eurostat/PRODCOM; UN Comtrade HS 25–40; CEFIC; IFA Weekly–Monthly–Quarterly
Healthcare Approvals, UDI, trials, procedure volumes, payer schedules FDA/EMA/EUDAMED/PMDA/CDSCO; ClinicalTrials.gov; WHO ICTRP; CMS DRG Weekly–Monthly–Quarterly
Technology & Semis Filings, deployment telemetry, app installs, fab/node EDGAR; SEMI; HS 8542; GSMA/3GPP; spectrum auctions Quarterly + monthly capex
Packaging Substrate flows, converter capacity, OEE, format adoption UN Comtrade HS 39–48, 76; FAOSTAT; PRODCOM/NAICS Monthly–Quarterly
Food & Beverage Farm-to-fork balance, price/mix, claim shares FAOSTAT; USDA WASDE/ERS; HS 02–24; FAO FishStat Monthly (+ weekly for volatile)
Oil & Gas Capacity, production, storage, trade, emissions IEA/EIA; OPEC; HS 27; Baker Hughes Weekly–Monthly
Industrial Automation Shipments, installed base, retrofit cycles, tenders PRODCOM/NAICS; EU TED; SAM.gov; HS 84–85 Monthly–Quarterly

Lineage & confidence (B2B)

Sources UN Comtrade; ITC Trade Map; Eurostat/PRODCOM; US Census; BEA; BLS; OECD; IEA/EIA; OPEC; USGS; FAOSTAT; USDA; FAO FishStat; FDA/EMA/EUDAMED/PMDA/CDSCO; ClinicalTrials.gov; WHO ICTRP; OICA; ACEA; SIAM; national statistics; tender boards.
Access Public / Licensed / Consent (logged with pull dates and licenses)
Transforms Unit conversions; currency basis; geo normalization; seasonality method
Confidence A/B/C by metric, with reasons
Caveats Re-exports and intra-company transfers are handled conservatively where final use is uncertain

B2C / Retail (No-EPOS, No Scraping)

3.1 What is collected

Public filings and trading updates, store-locator counts, opening/closure news, circulars and newsletters, app-store pages and reviews, public social content (Instagram, TikTok, YouTube, X), and search-interest signals. Supplier and distributor anecdotes are used as guardrails. Private data is not touched.

3.2 Retail proxy sandbox

SRAP=49 | PII=21 | RHI=55

Weights are illustrative. Proxies are labeled with confidence bands.

t0t1t2 t3t4t5 t6t7t8 RHI Index

3.3 What is not done

At FMI, EPOS and panel datasets are not used. Shopping cart scraping is avoided. Private pages are never accessed, and PII is not collected. No surprises (or shocks) here.

Lineage & confidence (Retail)

Sources Retail filings and trading updates; store-locator pages; circulars/newsletters; public social posts; app-store public pages; national retail indices.
Transforms Week→Month rollups; engagement normalization; duplicate filtering; currency to constant USD
Confidence Tier A for filed metrics; Tier B for multi-signal proxies; Tier C for single-signal spikes
Caveats Viral content can inflate short-term momentum; some banners suppress promo posts

Mathematical Modelling

Interactive: quick calculators

Units × ASP

Value = $270,000,000

Apparent capacity

Apparent capacity ≈ 941,176

Equations

Value = Units × ASP InstalledBaseₜ = InstalledBaseₜ₋₁ + Shipmentsₜ − Retirementsₜ
OtherVendors = MeanRevenue(tier) × VendorCount(tier) ApparentCapacity ≈ Production / CapacityFactor

Lineage & confidence (Modelling)

Transforms Winsorized ASP; state-space elasticities; survival-curve retirements; constant-FX forecasts
Confidence Tier A for audited + multi-source; Tier B when partial; Tier C when proxy-heavy
Caveats Re-export uncertainty; EPOS gaps where proxies are used; vendor fiscal shifts around year-end

Sources & Lineage

Quick Filter

Lane Examples
Trade & Production UN Comtrade; ITC Trade Map; Eurostat/PRODCOM; US Census; BEA; BLS; OECD
Energy & Commodities IEA; EIA; OPEC; USGS; UNCTADstat
Agri & Food FAOSTAT; USDA WASDE/ERS; FAO FishStat
Healthcare FDA (Drugs@FDA, PMA/510k, GUDID); EMA; EUDAMED; PMDA; CDSCO; ClinicalTrials.gov; WHO ICTRP; CMS DRG
Automotive & Mobility OICA; ACEA; JAMA; SIAM; NHTSA; KBA; IEA Global EV
Technology & Telecom EDGAR; SEMI; GSMA; 3GPP; spectrum auctions; HS 8542
Procurement & Tenders EU TED; US SAM.gov; UK Find a Tender; India GeM
Retail Public Filings; store-locator pages; circulars/newsletters; app-store pages; public social posts

Cadence & Deliverables

Our quarterly baselines define the workflow. Monthly micro updates capture high frequency shifts. Immediate shock notes are issued when policy changes, supply outages, recalls, or sudden price spikes occur.

FAQs

Is EPOS data required?

No. A social-first, filing-anchored approach is used where EPOS is unavailable. Proxies are clearly marked.

Are re-exports adjusted?

Yes, where final use can be determined. Otherwise, a conservative stance is taken and confidence is lowered.

Can every company be verified?

No. Coverage is tiered. Tiers are disclosed. Methods for the tail are transparent.

Are assumptions public?

Yes. Short forms are placed near the numbers. Long forms live in the annex.

Is humour allowed in a methodology page?

A little. Only in the safe zones. Numbers remain serious.

“Scope locked. Apples now compared to apples.” “Assumptions visible. No sleight of hand.” “Confidence: Tier B (modeled from partials).” “Retail: No EPOS. Social-first proxies. Clearly marked.”
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