USA Scroll Compressor Market Outlook from 2025 to 2035

The United States Scroll Compressor Market is set to expand moderately in the assessment period 2025 to 2035, contributing to the growing applications in heat pumps, refrigeration, HVAC systems, and electric vehicles.

Scroll compressors are becoming more and more popular due to their energy-saving discipline, quiet operation, smaller footprint and minimum maintenance properties that are highly recognized by both commercial and household applications. The USA scroll compressor market was USD 1,162.7 million in 2025 and expected to reach USD 1,876.1 million by 2035, developing at a CAGR of 4.9% during the forecast period.

Metric Value
Market Size in 2025 USD 1,162.7 Million
Projected Market Size in 2035 USD 1,876.1 Million
CAGR (2025 to 2035) 4.9%

Scroll compressors are now increasingly the center of the universe for new-build and retrofit applications, with decarburization of heating and cooling across the USA and available federal incentives for energy-efficient infrastructure and clean energy adoption. Also, robust growth is taking place in the electric vehicle thermal management segment, where scroll compressors enable battery cooling as well as cabin comfort.

But considering technological progress, this field is still being reshaped with smart scroll compressors now including variable-speed drives, Internet-of-Things-informed diagnostics and environmentally friendly low Global Warming Potential (GWP) refrigerants. Its integration into heat pump systems is one bright spot in the trend data, especially with USA residential homebuyers and commercial business executives setting their sights on electric, sustainable climate tech.

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Regional Market Trends

Northeast USA

With high population density in cities like New York, Boston and Philadelphia and older building stock, the Northeast has high retrofitting activity. Increasing energy standards and winter heating loads have resulted in widespread use of scroll compressors in HVAC and heat pump replacement. The aggressive decarburization strategies of the region are also leading to the transition from conventional systems to scroll-based, highly efficient systems.

Southwest USA

In warm-weather states such as Arizona, New Mexico and parts of Texas, the top priority is cooling efficiency. This has positioned scroll compressor technology as the dominant force in the residential HVAC market, where their dependable and zero-leakage operation is advantageous in high thermal loads. Solar in the Region as the use of solar energy is becoming common within the region, scroll compressors are becoming more and more widely integrated with air conditioners based on off-grid and hybrid systems to improve power consumption and system stability.

West USA

California, Oregon and Washington are frontrunners in energy-efficient building and climate policy and dominate scroll compressor adoption for HVAC and renewable-included heat pumps. Phasing out high-GWP refrigerants and electrifying heat systems will push legacy piston systems out of the market as states and provinces around the world regulate them. Consumer demographics that are aware of technology also drive demand for both variable-speed and smart-capable scroll units.

Southeast USA

Southeasthave high year-round cooling loads. Scroll compressors abound in air conditioning equipment, where they far outperform conventional compressors in energy efficiency and durability. Demand for open-compression, scroll technology for high-volume, reliable cooling is hitting this often sought-after market, where real estate is expanding rapidly.

Midwest USA

The Midwest, with a combination of urban and rural demand, sees scroll compressors in residential heating, commercial cooling and farm refrigeration. Illinois, Ohio, and Michigan are all pushing for gas heating replacements with heat pump installation; all before the push for scroll compressors. Product and supply chain innovation is also being driven by local manufacturers.

Challenges

Overall high Front-End expense and Technology installation lag

Some of the major challenges faced in the USA Scroll Compressor Market are high initial cost of scroll compressor systems (for small- to medium-sized HVAC and refrigeration companies), and others. Compared to the traditional reciprocating compressors, scroll compressors need to invest more in machining processes, electronic control systems, and maintenance experience.

A sluggish adoption of conventional industrial installations and rural HVAC markets hinders ease of responsiveness for mass penetration of compact scroll systems. In the commercial market, existing systems with scroll compressors are being retrofitted as it becomes challenging to work with the existing systems. issue is sensitivity to fluctuations in the cost of raw materials (e.g., aluminum and copper) that have a bearing on total system pricing and margins.

Opportunities

Energy Efficiency Standards and Trends in Electrification

The USA scroll compressor market presents significant growth opportunities, driven mostly by rigid federal energy efficiency standards like SEER2/ EER ratings and the general trend toward low GWP refrigerants and decarbonized heating or cooling solutions. Due to their lower noise, efficiency, and smaller on-site footprint, scroll compressors are gaining traction in residential, commercial, and light industrial applications.

Residential demand for scroll compressors, especially in new builds and retrofits with IRA incentives, is fueling the heat pump boom. Scroll compressors used in thermal management, climate control and refrigeration supporting EV, data center, and modular cold chain logistics also creates new markets.

Shifts in the USA Scroll Compressor Market between 2020 to 2024 and Future Trends 2025 to 2035

Between 2020 and 2024, scroll compressors saw greater use as older, energy-wasting HVAC and refrigeration systems were phased out. The market grew in multi-family residential buildings, supermarkets, and commercial rooftops, with scroll technology being optimized by manufacturers for low-noise and variable-speed applications. Supply chains were first disrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic but went on to increase demand for indoor clean air solutions, favoring scroll-based HVAC systems.

Looking ahead to 2025 to 2035, the scroll compressor industry is expected to transform into a smart, refrigerant-agnostic, and IoT-enabled ecosystem. Variable-speed scrolls, natural refrigerant compatibility (such as R-290 and CO₂), and AI-based HVAC control system integration will become the norm. As the USA continues to intensify its electrification and building decarburization initiatives, scroll compressors will become the backbone of energy-efficient climate technologies, especially in the Northeast, Midwest, and Western states.

Market Shifts: A Comparative Analysis (2020 to 2024 vs. 2025 to 2035)

Market Shift 2020 to 2024 Trends
Regulatory Landscape Compliance with SEER2, EER, and HFC phasedown rules under AIM Act
Market Penetration Growth in commercial rooftops, cold storage, and split HVAC systems
Technology Evolution Adoption of two-stage and variable-speed scroll compressors
Material Innovation Use of aluminum and traditional copper components
Market Competition Dominated by Emerson, Copeland, Danfoss , Mitsubishi Electric
Customer Preferences Focus on energy efficiency, compact design, and lower operating noise
Integration with Other Sectors Used in HVAC-R systems for residential and retail refrigeration
Market Shift 2025 to 2035 Projections
Regulatory Landscape Mandates for low-GWP refrigerants, net-zero-ready HVAC systems, and building electrification
Market Penetration Expansion into all-electric homes, EV battery cooling, smart buildings, and micro data centers
Technology Evolution Rise of inverter-driven smart scrolls with cloud-based diagnostics and adaptive control
Material Innovation Shift toward lightweight alloys, magnetically suspended rotors, and low-friction coatings
Market Competition Entrance of AI-integrated HVAC firms, EV thermal management suppliers, and modular cooling solution providers
Customer Preferences Preference for predictive maintenance, refrigerant flexibility, and smart system integration
Integration with Other Sectors Integrated into EV thermal systems, containerized cold storage, and zero-emission buildings

State Wise Outlook

California

California is the strongest and most dynamic USA bird food market, driven by a strong culture of backyard birding, favorable climate, and huge base of environmentally conscious consumers. Urban centers like San Francisco, San Diego, and Los Angeles are seeing increased use of organic, non-GMO bird feed, especially from homes that have native gardens and bird-friendly landscapes.

Locally, with us, customers pay extra for high-quality mixes that attract migratory and native birds and are interested in sustainably sourced products and eco-friendly packaging. Urban biodiversity projects on the rise and school-level environmental study are also propelling demand.

State CAGR (2025 to 2035)
California 5.3%

New York

New York bird seed consumption is based on a blend of rural and city birders. Rooftop gardens and urban wildlife corridors in cities like New York City are creating demand for small bird feeders and seed-specific mixes, particularly songbird-specific seed mixes.

Suburbs and upstate regions like the Hudson Valley and Adirondacks have an active base of backyard bird enthusiasts that generate steady year-round demand for suet, seed mix, and winter feeding products. Garden shops and stores prefer to sell region-specific feeds, and more and more residents assist in bird conservation by shopping with their support.

State CAGR (2025 to 2035)
New York 4.8%

Texas

The Texas bird feeding market is expanding at a fast pace with the help of its vastness, diversity, and multitude of bird festivals and wildlife tourism. The Austin, Houston, and San Antonio metropolitan areas are experiencing growing activity towards wild bird feeding as a recreational sport and an educational family outing.

Rural community ranchers and landowners tend to supplement local bird populations with more sophisticated feeding programs, while in urban communities, a trend towards multicolored blends is increasing which attract finches, doves, and hummingbirds. Year-round feeding is made possible through the state's subtropical climate, and there is a do-it-yourself spirit driving consumer interest in home-made feeders and bulk-seed products.

State CAGR (2025 to 2035)
Texas 5.0%

Florida

A year-round avian market in Florida is complimented by the state's high avifaunal diversity and subtropical climate, which means the state's birdseed market receives a boost to a year-round avian market. Miami, Tampa, and Orlando markets have seen growing demand for attracting migrant and tropical species to gardens, balconies, and houses near lakes.

Fresh-fruit diets, nectar, and insect-fortified blends are the best options for majority Floridian buyers because of their tendency to attract exotic or brightly colored birds like parrots and warblers to their gardens. High second-homeownership and retiree rates yield a high liking for bird feeding as a recreative activity and therapy and hence greater demand for high-quality bird food products which are convenient to consume.

State CAGR (2025 to 2035)
Florida 4.9%

Segmentation Outlook

Air Conditioning Segment Takes the Market by Storm due to Increased Demand for HVAC and Energy Efficient Needs

By application, USA scroll compressor market is dominated by air conditioning application due to increased demand for smaller and efficient HVAC products in residential and commercial usage. Scroll compressors are more common in air conditioning applications due to smoother performance, quieter, and energy-saving nature compared to conventional reciprocating compressors.

Within the United States, the Department of Energy (DOE) strict energy standards and broad adoption of ENERGY STAR-certified products have led HVAC manufacturers to use high-efficiency components, and scroll compressors are among the most popular. Unitary products ranging from 1HP to 6HP are especially favored in new residential construction and retrofits that focus on green, quiet cooling systems.

Correspondingly, commercial market (7.5 HP to 30 HP) is also on the rise with investments by companies in office, retail, and institutional air conditioning and heating equipment. Along with these, building electrification and green tax credits for air conditioning retrofits also drive the use of scroll compressors on air conditioners. Condensing Units Dominate Refrigeration Industry Due to Retail and Food Service Fueling Growth.

Compact compressors (1 HP to 10 HP) are the USA scroll compressor leader in the refrigeration business

Scroll compressors in condensing units have been shown to offer reliable performance, efficiency, and low maintenance issues of prime concern for businesses handling perishable goods. e-grocery, fresh food delivery, and rapid growth in quick-service restaurants demand silent, compact, and efficient refrigeration units.

The USA legislation to move away from high-GWP refrigerants and adopt low-GWP substitutes (e.g., R-290 and R-744) has compelled OEMs to employ scroll compressor-based equipment with environmentally friendly refrigerants. The benefits of scroll compressors over meeting temperature-critical needs and technological advancements in variable-speed scroll systems guarantee that condensing units will remain the prevailing application for the USA refrigeration scroll compressor market.

Competitive Outlook

The USA Scroll Compressor Market is growing robustly with increasing energy-efficient air conditioning, ventilation, and heating system, green refrigeration, and electrification demand in the residential, commercial, and industrial sectors. Scroll compressors, with their low noise level operation, compact nature, and high efficiency, have emerged as an important component of new air conditioner and heat pump applications.

What's driving the pace even stronger? More stringent green policies, rising power costs, and state decarbonization policy. Opposition is at the doorstep of low-GWP refrigerant substitutes, variable speed compressors, and Internet-of-Things-based technology. The big boys dominate the market but also locally guarded by indigenous system integrators and OEMs.

Recent Developments

  • In Feb 2025, Copeland (former Emerson company) launched its new scroll compressor platform specifically for cold climate heat pumps to satisfy new DOE energy standards beginning in 2026. Adaptive load sensing and smoother modulation are among the products offered.
  • In September 2024, Danfoss North America introduced the availability of next-generation inverter scroll compressor in data center cooling applications. Designed for varying loads, the solution provides predictive diagnostics that enable maximum uptime as well as optimal energy-efficient performance.

Market Share Analysis by Key Players

Company Name Estimated Market Share (%)
Emerson Electric Co. 30 - 35%
Danfoss Group 18 - 22%
Copeland (Post Emerson Spin-off) 12 - 16%
Mitsubishi Electric Corporation 8 - 12%
LG Electronics Inc. 6 - 9%
Other Players 15 - 20%

Key Company Offerings

Company Name Key Offerings
Emerson Electric Co. Industry leader with scroll compressors designed for HVAC and refrigeration systems; features include variable speed models and compatibility with low-GWP refrigerants.
Danfoss Group Offers advanced scroll compressors for both commercial and residential buildings with enhanced energy efficiency, including inverter and tandem scroll technology.
Copeland (Post Spin-off) A legacy scroll brand now operating independently, focused on accelerating innovations in decarbonized heating and modular HVAC design.
Mitsubishi Electric Known for residential and light commercial scroll compressors in VRF systems and inverter-driven solutions optimized for USA climate zones.
LG Electronics Inc. Focuses on high-efficiency residential and commercial HVAC systems, with smart control integration and compact scroll design.

Other Key Players

  • Bitzer US, Inc.
  • Hitachi Global Air Power US
  • Panasonic North America
  • Tecumseh Products Company

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the overall size of the USA scroll compressor market in 2025?

The overall market size for USA scroll compressor market was USD 1,162.7 Million in 2025.

How big is the USA scroll compressor market expected in 2035?

The USA scroll compressor market is expected to reach USD 1,876.1 Million in 2035.

What will drive the demand for USA scroll compressor market during the forecast period?

The increasing energy-saving discipline, quiet operation, smaller footprint and minimum maintenance properties will drive the demand for USA scroll compressor market.

List the top states contributing in USA scroll compressor market?

The top states which drive the development of USA scroll compressor market are California, New York, Texas, and Florida.

Which is the leading segment in the USA scroll compressor market?

Air Conditioning and Compact compressors (1 HP to 10 HP) are leading segment in the USA scroll compressor market.

Table of Content
  1. Executive Summary
  2. Industry Introduction, including Taxonomy and Market Definition
  3. Market Trends and Success Factors, including Macro-economic Factors, Market Dynamics, and Recent Industry Developments
  4. United States Market Demand Analysis 2020 to 2024 and Forecast 2025 to 2035, including Historical Analysis and Future Projections
  5. Pricing Analysis
  6. United States Market Analysis 2020 to 2024 and Forecast 2025 to 2035
    • Type
  7. United States Market Analysis 2020 to 2024 and Forecast 2025 to 2035, By Type
    • Air Conditioning
      • Residential (1HP to 6HP)
      • Commercial (7.5 HP to 30 HP)
    • Refrigeration
      • Condensing units (1 HP to 10HP)
      • Industrial (10HP to 30 HP)
  8. United States Market Analysis 2020 to 2024 and Forecast 2025 to 2035, By Region
    • United States
  9. Value United States Sales Analysis 2020 to 2024 and Forecast 2025 to 2035, by Key Segments and Countries
  10. Sales Forecast 2025 to 2035 by Type for 30 Countries
  11. Competition Outlook, including Market Structure Analysis, Company Share Analysis by Key Players, and Competition Dashboard
  12. Company Profile
    • Emerson Electric Co.
    • Danfoss Group
    • Copeland (Post Spin-off)
    • Mitsubishi Electric
    • LG Electronics Inc.
    • Bitzer US, Inc.
    • Hitachi Global Air Power US
    • Panasonic North America
    • Tecumseh Products Company
    • Others

Key Market Segments

By Type:

On the basis of type, the USA Scroll Compressor Market is categorized into Air Conditioning (Residential (1HP to 6HP), Commercial (7.5 HP to 30 HP)) and Refrigeration (Condensing units (1 HP to 10HP), Industrial (10HP to 30 HP))

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