The MENA commercial vehicles market is projected to expand from USD 7.61 billion in 2025 to USD 18.72 billion by 2035, with a CAGR of 5.1% expected to be recorded during the forecast period. This growth is being driven by infrastructure expansion, increased regional trade, and fleet modernization initiatives.
By 2024, the implementation of national logistics strategies and public-private partnerships had already begun to influence procurement across the light, medium, and heavy-duty commercial vehicle segments. Government-backed diversification programs, especially in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries, have accelerated the replacement of aging fleets.
Fleet electrification and alternative fuel integration are being gradually introduced across select MENA markets. Hybrid and electric vehicle pilots are being funded through public tenders and city-level initiatives aimed at reducing dependence on imported diesel and gasoline. Smart mobility technologies, including telematics and fleet tracking solutions, are being adopted to improve operational efficiency and safety.
In parallel, the demand for trucks and vans in e-commerce, retail distribution, and cross-border logistics is being elevated by the region’s growing digital economy. These transitions are being reinforced by regulatory pressure to improve fuel economy and reduce emissions.
Key trends are being reflected in evolving vehicle specifications and service models. Greater emphasis is being placed on payload optimization, emissions compliance, and ease of serviceability. In urban areas, compact delivery vans and medium-duty trucks are being deployed for last-mile logistics.
In oil-rich economies, heavy-duty vehicles with specialized configurations are being ordered for mining, construction, and off-road transport. Connected service packages are being bundled with vehicles by OEMs to enable predictive maintenance and uptime guarantees. Leasing models and buyback schemes are also being introduced to support small and medium enterprises, which form a significant portion of commercial fleet operators.
Regionally, the GCC countries-particularly Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates-are being identified as the dominant contributors to commercial vehicle demand. In North Africa, countries like Egypt and Morocco are being recognized for their expanding industrial zones and transport corridor investments.
Commercial vehicle assembly and CKD operations are being localized in key markets to reduce costs and enhance supply chain responsiveness. As digital logistics, infrastructure investments, and clean fleet mandates continue to be rolled out, steady growth in the MENA commercial vehicles market is being projected through 2035.
| Attributes | Key Insights |
|---|---|
| Market Estimated Size (2025E) | USD 7.61 billion |
| Projected Market Valuation (2035F) | USD 18.72 billion |
| Value-based CAGR (2025 to 2035) | 5.1% |
Commercial trucks are projected to maintain their dominance in the MENA commercial vehicles market with an estimated market share of 72.6% in 2025. This segment continues to thrive due to rising demand from the logistics, mining, and construction industries, which are key contributors to economic diversification in the region.
Stabilizing oil prices have reignited infrastructure development initiatives in countries like Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Egypt, resulting in larger government spending on transportation and industrial projects. This, in turn, is creating higher demand for robust material-carrying vehicles. Commercial trucks are preferred for their load-bearing capabilities, availability in multiple axle configurations, and adaptability for both on-road and off-road usage.
With Vision 2030 initiatives driving massive public and private sector investments, especially in Saudi Arabia, the need for medium to heavy trucks for site development and cargo movement has surged. Leading manufacturers such as Mercedes-Benz, MAN, and Tata Motors are actively targeting the region with customized fleets suited for desert climates and rugged terrains. The increasing presence of local assembly operations also helps reduce import dependencies, accelerating truck adoption rates.
In 2025, the heavy-duty vehicle segment is expected to command approximately 47.8% of the total MENA commercial vehicles market by value. This growth is being driven by the region’s reliance on durable, high-capacity transport solutions for logistics, oilfield services, and heavy industrial applications. These vehicles are essential for hauling large machinery, construction materials, and for cross-border trade routes that traverse challenging terrains.
Heavy-duty trucks offer flexibility due to their modular build. attachments like tankers, flatbeds, and tippers can be mounted or removed easily, allowing a single vehicle to serve multiple purposes. Their demand has been especially strong in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries, where governments are developing industrial zones and enhancing logistics corridors.
Manufacturers like Volvo, Scania, and Isuzu are making inroads through localized partnerships and after-sales support networks. Additionally, government incentives for fleet modernization in regions like the UAE and Oman have prompted logistics operators to invest in new heavy-duty vehicles to comply with emission and safety regulations.
Commercial vehicle demand has been unpredictable over the past five years in Middle East/North Africa. It is attributed to numerous events such as the pandemic crisis and the Russia-Ukraine war.
Between 2020 and 2024, the market witnessed a CAGR of 4.6%. Commercial vehicle manufacturers should benefit from capital expenditure diversification across numerous sectors. These include construction, oil & gas, logistics, tourism, and public infrastructure.
Commercial trucking solutions in the MENA region would grow significantly over the next ten years. It would present substantial prospects for manufacturing businesses. Prominent industry participants are working to create sturdy, long-lasting commercial vehicles.
They are also aiming to develop chassis that can be loaded effectively. Usage of newly created materials such as steel and aluminum alloys would surge.
These materials make the chassis and car bodies robust and durable under harsh load situations. Launch of these materials is possible with material science advancements in manufacturing industries.
Construction and urbanization would contribute to high commercial vehicles sales. Rising residential and commercial construction projects in countries such as Egypt would augment demand.
Domestic governments in MENA countries are looking forward to invest in the construction of massive complexes. They are taking efforts to diversify its economy away from oil.
The Dubai Expo 2020 and associated projects are a few examples of the same. Other constructions such as Kuwait Bridge and Metro in Riyadh, would push commercial vehicles demand. The upcoming Liwa Plastic Industries Complex in Oman would also augment demand.
| Market Statistics | Details |
|---|---|
| Jan to Jun (H1), 2023 (A) | 3.30% |
| Jul to Dec (H2), 2023 (A) | 3.70% |
| Jan to Jun (H1),2024 Projected (P) | 3.50% |
| Jan to Jun (H1),2024 Outlook (O) | 4.70% |
| Jul to Dec (H2), 2024 Outlook (O) | 5.50% |
| Jul to Dec (H2), 2025 Projected (P) | 3.90% |
| Jan to Jun (H1), 2025 Projected (P) | 3.80% |
| BPS Change : H1,2024 (O) to H1,2024 (P) | (+) 120 |
| BPS Change : H1,2024 (O) to H1,2025 (A) | (+) 140 ↑ |
| BPS Change: H2, 2024 (O) to H2, 2024 (P) | (+) 160 ↑ |
| BPS Change: H2, 2024 (O) to H2, 2025 (A) | (+) 180 |
Strict Government Norms to Control Emissions May Hamper Commercial Vehicle Sales
| Country | Saudi Arabia |
|---|---|
| Market Share (2025) | 14.0% |
| Market Share (2035) | 15.0% |
| BPS Analysis | 100 |
| Country | United Arab Emirates |
|---|---|
| Market Share (2025) | 5.2% |
| Market Share (2035) | 5.3% |
| BPS Analysis | 10 |
| Country | Türkiye |
|---|---|
| Market Share (2025) | 28.4% |
| Market Share (2035) | 27.7% |
| BPS Analysis | -70 |
| Country | Egypt |
|---|---|
| Market Share (2025) | 8.2% |
| Market Share (2035) | 8.1% |
| BPS Analysis | -10 |
| Country | Morocco |
|---|---|
| Market Share (2025) | 2.2% |
| Market Share (2035) | 2.1% |
| BPS Analysis | -10 |
Value of Commercial Vehicles to Surge in Saudi Arabia as Urban Infrastructures Develop
The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia has planned several urban infrastructures. It includes logistics and commercial infrastructure. Rising construction activities of trade and logistics are boosting the commercial vehicle industry across the country.
There are several ongoing mega projects and urban infrastructure development plans in the country. These have attracted huge capital investments in the country.
Rising preference for online purchases will augment demand from the e-commerce industry. It would create significant opportunities for the logistics and warehouse sector.
The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia has invested capital expenditures worth USD 500 billion for a high-tech city project. Similar investments in urban infrastructure development would create rising demand for material handling equipment. It would include commercial vehicles for material transportation.
Investments in Material Transportation Equipment in Türkiye to Push Commercial Vehicle Market Value
Türkiye has gained prominence, thanks to its advantageous geopolitical location. Excellent connectivity, business climate, and regulatory framework have created a favorable atmosphere.
The country also has trade agreements and a robust workforce. These have caught the attention of overseas manufacturers. They are looking at Türkiye as a potential nearshore location.
Development of e-commerce will drive investments in regional warehouses and transfer centers. The country's demand for commercial vehicles would accelerate in the next ten years. Rising exports, launch of e-commerce, and the current nearshoring trend would propel sales.
Several public transport infrastructure development projects are ongoing across the country. They include huge public and private investments.
For instance, Türkiye is investing about USD 190 billion in rail, road, maritime, and air transport & communication infrastructure. Such infrastructure development plans will create new opportunities for material transportation equipment in the country.
New Transportation Projects to Demand Small Commercial Vehicles in the United Arab Emirates
Construction sector in the United Arab Emirates is expanding at a rapid pace. It is attributed to the country’s tremendous wealth, sizable market, and long-term development objectives.
There is a sizable pipeline of projects for the United Arab Emirates. These include those for the production of oil & gas. Companies are investing in new projects associated with real estate, utilities, and industrial development.
There will be several new building and transportation projects in the pipeline by 2033. Most of these projects are located in the United Arab Emirates.
Prominent vehicle manufacturers are looking for acquisitions and joint ventures. They are trying to penetrate into the market and boost their revenues. Manufacturing companies are also focusing on new infrastructural project launches.
They are increasing investments in public transportation activities. Manufacturing companies are also focusing on new product launches and acquisition strategies.
For instance,
| Report Attributes | Details |
|---|---|
| Current Total Market Size (2025) | USD 7.61 billion |
| Projected Market Size (2035) | USD 18.72 billion |
| CAGR (2025 to 2035) | 5.1% |
| Base Year for Estimation | 2024 |
| Historical Period | 2020 to 2024 |
| Projections Period | 2025 to 2035 |
| Quantitative Units | USD billion for value and thousand units for volume |
| Product Types Analyzed (Segment 1) | Trucks, Buses, Vans, Trailers |
| Class Types Analyzed (Segment 2) | Light Duty, Medium Duty, Heavy Duty |
| Countries Covered | United Arab Emirates, Türkiye, Saudi Arabia, Algeria, Egypt, Morocco |
| Key Players influencing the MENA Commercial Vehicles Market | Daimler AG, Volvo AB, Scania AB, Paccar Inc., Navistar International Corp., Hino Motors Ltd., Isuzu Motors Ltd., Dongfeng Motor Corporation, FAW Group Corporation, Toyota Motor Corporation, Ford Motor Company, Nissan Motor Company Limited, General Motor Company, Volkswagen AG |
| Additional Attributes | Dollar sales by vehicle type (truck, bus, van), Class-wise analysis (light, medium, heavy-duty), Market impact of mining and construction growth, Oil price stabilization trends, Regional diversification strategies in automotive investment |
| Customization and Pricing | Customization and Pricing Available on Request |
The market is valued at USD 7.61 billion in 2025.
Increasing investments in logistics and construction activities drive the market.
Demand for heavy-duty commercial vehicle market flourishes by 2035.
Unchecked chemical emissions from diesel engines degrade the environment.
Investments in transportation equipment in Türkiye boost the commercial vehicle market.
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Middle East/North Africa (MENA) Commercial Vehicles Market
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