Methodology

Demand for Conversational Commerce in Japan Forecast and Outlook 2025 to 2035

The demand for conversational commerce in Japan is valued at USD 400.2 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 1,146.7 billion by 2035, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.1%. The growth in conversational commerce is driven by the increasing integration of artificial intelligence (AI) and natural language processing (NLP) into e-commerce platforms, enabling businesses to engage customers through chatbots, voice assistants, and other messaging tools. As consumers increasingly prefer quick, personalized, and interactive shopping experiences, conversational commerce is becoming a critical part of the retail and customer service landscape. This trend is supported by the growing use of mobile devices and the digitalization of retail environments in Japan.

The market shows strong and consistent growth, moving from USD 236.4 billion in earlier years to USD 400.2 billion in 2025, and continuing to rise to USD 1,146.7 billion by 2035. Year-on-year growth is significant, with demand increasing from USD 444.6 billion in 2026 to USD 494.0 billion in 2027, and continuing to expand through the forecast period. The rise in conversational commerce is a result of the growing preference for seamless, efficient, and personalized shopping experiences, with businesses increasingly adopting AI-driven communication tools. This steady upward trajectory highlights the expanding role of conversational commerce in Japan’s retail sector.

Quick Stats of the Demand for Conversational Commerce in Japan

  • Demand for Conversational Commerce in Japan Value (2025): USD 400.2 billion
  • Demand for Conversational Commerce in Japan Forecast Value (2035): USD 1,146.7 billion
  • Demand for Conversational Commerce in Japan Forecast CAGR (2025–2035): 11.1%
  • Leading Solution Demand Segment: Software (63%)
  • Key Growth Regions for Conversational Commerce: Kyushu & Okinawa, Kanto, Kinki, Chubu, Tohoku, Rest of Japan
  • Top Players in the Conversational Commerce Industry in Japan: Meta, Google, Amazon, Microsoft, Apple

Japan Conversational Commerce Market Market Value Analysis

What is the Growth Forecast for Demand for Conversational Commerce in Japan through 2035?

Demand in Japan for conversational commerce is projected to rise from USD 400.2 billion in 2025 to USD 1,146.7 billion by 2035, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 11.1%. From USD 236.4 billion in 2020 the value increases steadily, reaching USD 360.2 billion by 2024 and USD 400.2 billion in 2025. Over the decade from 2025 to 2035 this results in growth of USD 746.5 billion. The expansion is driven by the growing integration of conversational interfaces in retail and services, use of messaging apps and voice assistants for sales and support, and increasing consumer preference for real time, interactive shopping experiences.

The acceleration beyond 2025 is underpinned by several structural shifts. Messaging platforms and chatbots evolve into full commerce channels, enabling consumers to browse, ask questions and complete purchases without leaving a conversation. Brands respond by embedding checkout, recommendations and loyalty features directly in chat interfaces, increasing conversion rates and spend per user. As artificial intelligence, natural language processing and voice assistants mature, the per interaction spend rises. By 2035 the elevated value per interaction and higher frequency of conversational engagements propel demand to USD 1,146.7 billion.

Conversational Commerce Industry in Japan Key Takeaways

Metric Value
Industry Value (2025) USD 400.2 billion
Forecast Value (2035) USD 1,146.7 billion
Forecast CAGR (2025–2035) 11.1%

What Is Driving the Demand for Conversational Commerce in Japan?

The demand for conversational commerce in Japan is increasing as more consumers use messaging apps and chat platforms to interact with brands and make purchases. Japanese shoppers show a strong preference for seamless experiences where they can ask questions, get product suggestions, and complete purchases within a chat environment. Retailers and e commerce operators are responding with chatbots and conversational interfaces embedded in social apps and web platforms. This trend is supported by Japan’s high smartphone penetration and mature mobile commerce ecosystem.

In addition, the shift toward personalised, real time customer engagement is raising demand for conversational commerce solutions. Brands in Japan are using conversational channels to provide tailored recommendations, loyalty programme integration, and one to one support before, during and after a purchase. The ability to transact directly via conversation such as asking for a product and buying it without leaving the chat reduces friction and increases conversion rates. Challenges include adapting to Japanese language nuances and integrating secure payment flows, but the overall momentum indicates continued growth in conversational commerce in Japan.

What Factors Are Affecting the Demand for Conversational Commerce in Japan in Terms of Solution and Enterprise Size?

The demand for conversational commerce in Japan is influenced by the solutions offered and the enterprise size of users. Solutions for conversational commerce are typically categorized into software and services, with each playing a key role in enhancing customer engagement and streamlining online transactions. Enterprise size is another key factor, with small & medium enterprises (SMEs) and large enterprises representing distinct needs and adoption patterns. These segments reflect the evolving use of chatbots, virtual assistants, and AI-driven communication tools across various sectors to improve sales, customer service, and overall business efficiency.

What Drives the Leading Demand for Software in Conversational Commerce in Japan?

Japan Conversational Commerce Market Analysis By Solution

Software accounts for 63% of the total demand for conversational commerce solutions in Japan. This high demand is driven by the increasing reliance on automated communication systems that integrate artificial intelligence, machine learning, and natural language processing to facilitate customer interactions. Software solutions in conversational commerce, such as chatbots, virtual assistants, and AI-based customer support systems, enable businesses to offer real-time responses and personalized services, improving customer experience and operational efficiency.

The demand for conversational commerce software is further supported by Japan’s strong technology infrastructure and high mobile penetration. Businesses in various sectors, including retail, hospitality, and e-commerce, are increasingly adopting software-driven conversational commerce solutions to enhance customer engagement and drive sales. As consumers become more accustomed to seamless digital interactions, the need for sophisticated, AI-powered software solutions will continue to drive the demand for conversational commerce in Japan.

What Drives the Demand for Small & Medium Enterprises (SMEs) in Conversational Commerce in Japan?

Japan Conversational Commerce Market Analysis By Enterprise Size

Small & Medium Enterprises (SMEs) account for 47% of the total demand for conversational commerce in Japan. SMEs are increasingly adopting conversational commerce solutions to improve customer interaction and reduce operational costs. These businesses typically seek cost-effective, scalable solutions that can help them compete with larger enterprises in the digital space. Software solutions, particularly those offering AI-powered chatbots and automated customer support, are well-suited to the needs of SMEs, enabling them to provide personalized services without significant investments in human resources.

The demand from SMEs is driven by the need for efficient customer service and the ability to engage with customers across various digital platforms. As SMEs look for ways to enhance their online presence and improve customer satisfaction, conversational commerce solutions offer a practical and affordable way to meet these goals. The growing shift towards digital transformation among SMEs in Japan is expected to fuel continued demand for conversational commerce solutions in this segment.

What are the rising forces, trends and barriers in the demand for conversational commerce in Japan?

Japan’s digital retail ecosystem is evolving, and conversational commerce is emerging as a key component. Businesses increasingly deploy chat based interfaces, AI powered assistants and messaging app shopping experiences to engage consumers. A mature digital consumer base, high smartphone penetration and advanced messaging platforms support adoption. At the same time, challenges such as language specific natural language processing (NLP) requirements, regulatory constraints around data privacy and the need for seamless integration with payment and fulfilment systems impede full scale rollout. The demand environment is favourable yet complex as conversational commerce mats with Japan’s retail context.

How is Japan’s consumer preference for messaging and mobile shopping supporting conversational commerce?

In Japan, mobile first behaviour and widespread use of messaging apps create fertile ground for conversational commerce. Consumers are comfortable using chatbots, social media channels and mobile apps for shopping and support, which incentivises retailers to embed purchase flows directly within conversational interfaces. Additionally, the expectation for prompt, personalised and convenient shopping interactions aligns with conversational commerce formats. As a result, retail and e commerce firms in Japan that offer conversational shopping or inquiry to purchase experiences gain in relevance, thereby bolstering demand for conversational commerce solutions.

Where is the growth opportunity for conversational commerce in Japan’s retail and service sectors?

An opportunity in Japan lies in expanding conversational commerce across service oriented sectors such as beauty, luxury goods, travel and subscription commerce where consumer relationships and guidance matter. Retailers can leverage chat interfaces to offer product advice, streamline bookings, cross sell and integrate payment within the conversation. Given Japanese consumers’ affinity for high service quality and brand engagement, embedding commerce within conversational touchpoints offers a way to deepen loyalty and reduce friction. This positions conversational commerce as a meaningful growth avenue beyond standard e commerce.

What obstacles may slow wider adoption of conversational commerce in Japan?

Several barriers may limit the broader adoption of conversational commerce in Japan. First, Japanese language nuances and cultural communication styles require highly localised NLP and chatbot design, increasing solution costs and complexity. Second, legacy retail operations and complex payment/fulfilment integration pose operational hurdles for many firms. Third, consumer trust and data privacy concerns persist in contexts where conversational systems handle sensitive purchase or financial information. These factors collectively slow how fast conversational commerce can scale across all retailer segments in Japan.

What is the Demand for Conversational Commerce in Japan by Region?

Japan Conversational Commerce Market Cagr Analysis By Country

Region CAGR (%)
Kyushu & Okinawa 13.9%
Kanto 12.8%
Kinki 11.2%
Chubu 9.9%
Tohoku 8.7%
Rest of Japan 8.2%

The demand for conversational commerce in Japan is experiencing strong growth, with Kyushu and Okinawa leading at a 13.9% CAGR. This growth is driven by increased adoption of AI-powered customer service solutions and the expansion of e-commerce platforms. Kanto follows at 12.8%, supported by its tech-savvy population and high consumer engagement in digital commerce. Kinki records 11.2%, influenced by the region’s focus on integrating conversational AI into business operations. Chubu grows at 9.9%, with regional businesses increasingly adopting conversational commerce tools. Tohoku reaches 8.7%, with steady uptake, while the rest of Japan shows an 8.2% growth, reflecting broader national trends in digital retail and customer service.

How Is Kyushu & Okinawa Driving Demand for Conversational Commerce in Japan?

Kyushu & Okinawa is projected to grow at a CAGR of 13.9% through 2035 in demand for conversational commerce. The region’s adoption of digital technologies in retail and customer service has been accelerating, particularly in urban areas like Fukuoka. With consumers increasingly seeking seamless and personalized shopping experiences, businesses in Kyushu & Okinawa are turning to chatbots and AI-driven platforms to facilitate online transactions. The region’s focus on improving digital infrastructure and enhancing customer engagement through conversational tools further contributes to the demand for conversational commerce solutions.

  • Digital adoption in Kyushu & Okinawa accelerates demand for conversational commerce.
  • Fukuoka leads in adopting AI-driven platforms for personalized shopping.
  • Businesses enhance customer engagement using conversational commerce tools.
  • Improved digital infrastructure drives growth in AI-based customer service.

How Is Kanto Supporting Demand for Conversational Commerce in Japan?

Japan Conversational Commerce Market Country Value Analysis

Kanto is projected to grow at a CAGR of 12.8% through 2035 in demand for conversational commerce. As Japan’s economic center, Kanto, especially Tokyo, leads the adoption of digital commerce solutions, including chatbots and voice assistants. With a tech-savvy population and high online shopping penetration, the region is witnessing significant demand for AI-powered customer service and personalized online shopping experiences. Retailers and service providers in Kanto are increasingly integrating conversational commerce to improve customer engagement, streamline purchasing processes, and meet the growing expectation for instant support and service.

  • High online shopping penetration in Tokyo drives conversational commerce demand.
  • Retailers adopt AI-powered customer service for personalized experiences.
  • Tech-savvy consumers in Kanto boost adoption of digital commerce tools.
  • Instant support and service drive businesses to integrate chatbots and assistants.

How Is Kinki Contributing to Demand for Conversational Commerce in Japan?

Kinki is projected to grow at a CAGR of 11.2% through 2035 in demand for conversational commerce. The region’s focus on advanced technology adoption in retail and customer service is driving the growth of conversational commerce. Osaka and Kyoto, as major economic hubs, are adopting AI-powered platforms to enhance online shopping and customer interaction. As consumers increasingly prefer personalized, efficient experiences, businesses in Kinki are integrating conversational commerce tools to provide real-time assistance and streamline the purchasing process, meeting rising customer expectations for fast and responsive service.

  • Osaka and Kyoto lead in adopting AI-powered commerce solutions.
  • Personalized online shopping and customer interaction boost conversational commerce.
  • Businesses integrate conversational tools to meet consumer demand for efficiency.
  • AI platforms enhance real-time assistance and customer service in Kinki.

How Is Chubu Contributing to Demand for Conversational Commerce in Japan?

Japan Conversational Commerce Market Chubu Market Share Analysis By Enterprise Size

Chubu is projected to grow at a CAGR of 9.9% through 2035 in demand for conversational commerce. The region’s manufacturing and retail sectors are increasingly embracing digital tools, including chatbots and automated customer service, to enhance the shopping experience. Nagoya, as a key industrial and retail hub, is adopting AI-driven platforms to meet the demands of its consumer base. As the shift toward online shopping and digital interactions continues, businesses in Chubu are prioritizing conversational commerce solutions to streamline processes and offer instant support for consumers.

  • Nagoya’s manufacturing and retail sectors adopt digital commerce tools.
  • AI-driven platforms streamline customer service and improve shopping experience.
  • Growing online shopping trends boost demand for conversational commerce.
  • Businesses prioritize real-time customer support through conversational tools.

How Is Tohoku Contributing to Demand for Conversational Commerce in Japan?

Tohoku is projected to grow at a CAGR of 8.7% through 2035 in demand for conversational commerce. The region is gradually adopting digital commerce tools to address the needs of its more rural and aging population. As businesses in cities like Sendai focus on enhancing their online presence, conversational commerce solutions like AI-powered chatbots and customer service platforms are becoming essential to meet consumer demand. The increasing need for personalized customer experiences and the growing shift to online shopping contribute to the region’s market growth.

  • Rural areas in Tohoku gradually adopt AI-driven commerce solutions.
  • Businesses in Sendai focus on enhancing online presence with chatbots.
  • Growing demand for personalized customer experiences boosts adoption.
  • Shift to online shopping accelerates need for conversational commerce tools.

How Is Rest of Japan Supporting Demand for Conversational Commerce?

The Rest of Japan is projected to grow at a CAGR of 8.2% through 2035 in demand for conversational commerce. As regions outside the major urban centers adopt digital solutions, the need for conversational tools continues to rise. Smaller cities and rural areas are increasingly turning to AI-driven customer service solutions to facilitate smoother shopping experiences and offer instant support. The growing number of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in these regions is also contributing to the adoption of conversational commerce to meet evolving consumer expectations.

  • Smaller cities and rural areas adopt AI-powered customer service tools.
  • SMEs in rural regions increasingly adopt conversational commerce solutions.
  • Growing demand for online support drives the adoption of chatbots.
  • Improved customer experiences boost conversational commerce in remote areas.

What Is the Demand for Conversational Commerce in Japan and Who Are the Key Players Shaping the Industry?

Japan Conversational Commerce Market Analysis By Company

The demand for conversational commerce in Japan is driven by the increasing preference for seamless, real-time interactions between consumers and brands. With high smartphone penetration and a culture that values convenience, Japanese consumers are embracing chatbots, voice assistants, and messaging apps for their shopping experiences. As e-commerce continues to grow, businesses are integrating conversational tools into their platforms to provide personalized, instant customer service, facilitate purchases, and enhance user engagement. Additionally, advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) and natural language processing (NLP) have significantly improved the effectiveness of these tools, making them more intuitive and efficient for consumers.

Key players shaping the conversational commerce landscape in Japan include Meta, Google, Amazon, Microsoft, and Apple. These companies lead the way by providing the platforms, infrastructure, and technologies that enable conversational commerce. Meta, with its messaging apps like Facebook Messenger, allows businesses to interact directly with customers. Google and Microsoft offer powerful AI-driven chatbots and voice assistants. Amazon integrates conversational commerce into its ecosystem through Alexa and its online store. Apple’s Siri is also widely used in Japan for voice-based interactions. These companies are crucial in advancing the adoption and growth of conversational commerce in Japan.

Key Players in Conversational Commerce Industry in Japan

  • Meta
  • Google
  • Amazon
  • Microsoft
  • Apple

Report Scope for Conversational Commerce Industry in Japan

Items Values
Quantitative Units (2025) USD billion
End Use Finance, Manufacturing & Resources, Distribution Services, Services, Public Sector
Solution Software, Services
Enterprise Size Small & Medium Enterprises (SMEs), Large Enterprises
Regions Covered Kyushu & Okinawa, Kanto, Kinki, Chubu, Tohoku, Rest of Japan
Countries Covered Japan
Key Companies Profiled Meta, Google, Amazon, Microsoft, Apple
Additional Attributes Dollar by sales across solution types, industry sectors, enterprise size, user engagement trends, AI and NLP advancements, platform integration, market dynamics

Conversational Commerce Industry in Japan Segmentation

Solution:

  • Software
  •  Services

Enterprise Size:

  • Small & Medium Enterprises (SMEs)
  • Large Enterprises

Industry:

  • Finance
  • Manufacturing & Resources
  • Distribution Services
  • Services
  • Public Sector

Region

  • Kyushu & Okinawa
  • Kanto
  • Kinki
  • Chubu
  • Tohoku
  • Rest of Japan

Frequently Asked Questions

How big is the demand for conversational commerce in Japan in 2025?

The demand for conversational commerce in Japan is estimated to be valued at USD 400.2 billion in 2025.

What will be the size of conversational commerce in Japan in 2035?

The market size for the conversational commerce in Japan is projected to reach USD 1,146.7 billion by 2035.

How much will be the demand for conversational commerce in Japan growth between 2025 and 2035?

The demand for conversational commerce in Japan is expected to grow at a 11.1% CAGR between 2025 and 2035.

What are the key product types in the conversational commerce in japan?

The key product types in conversational commerce in Japan are software and services.

Which enterprise size segment is expected to contribute significant share in the conversational commerce in Japan in 2025?

In terms of enterprise size, small & medium enterprises (smes) segment is expected to command 47.0% share in the conversational commerce in Japan in 2025.

Table of Content

  1. Executive Summary
    • Japan Market Outlook
    • Demand to side Trends
    • Supply to side Trends
    • Technology Roadmap Analysis
    • Analysis and Recommendations
  2. Market Overview
    • Market Coverage / Taxonomy
    • Market Definition / Scope / Limitations
  3. Market Background
    • Market Dynamics
      • Drivers
      • Restraints
      • Opportunity
      • Trends
    • Scenario Forecast
      • Demand in Optimistic Scenario
      • Demand in Likely Scenario
      • Demand in Conservative Scenario
    • Opportunity Map Analysis
    • Product Life Cycle Analysis
    • Supply Chain Analysis
    • Investment Feasibility Matrix
    • Value Chain Analysis
    • PESTLE and Porter’s Analysis
    • Regulatory Landscape
    • Regional Parent Market Outlook
    • Production and Consumption Statistics
    • Import and Export Statistics
  4. Japan Market Analysis 2020 to 2024 and Forecast, 2025 to 2035
    • Historical Market Size Value (USD Million) Analysis, 2020 to 2024
    • Current and Future Market Size Value (USD Million) Projections, 2025 to 2035
      • Y to o to Y Growth Trend Analysis
      • Absolute $ Opportunity Analysis
  5. Japan Market Pricing Analysis 2020 to 2024 and Forecast 2025 to 2035
  6. Japan Market Analysis 2020 to 2024 and Forecast 2025 to 2035, By Solution
    • Introduction / Key Findings
    • Historical Market Size Value (USD Million) Analysis By Solution , 2020 to 2024
    • Current and Future Market Size Value (USD Million) Analysis and Forecast By Solution , 2025 to 2035
      • Software
      • Services
    • Y to o to Y Growth Trend Analysis By Solution , 2020 to 2024
    • Absolute $ Opportunity Analysis By Solution , 2025 to 2035
  7. Japan Market Analysis 2020 to 2024 and Forecast 2025 to 2035, By Enterprise Size
    • Introduction / Key Findings
    • Historical Market Size Value (USD Million) Analysis By Enterprise Size, 2020 to 2024
    • Current and Future Market Size Value (USD Million) Analysis and Forecast By Enterprise Size, 2025 to 2035
      • Small & Medium Enterprises (SMEs)
      • Large Enterprises
    • Y to o to Y Growth Trend Analysis By Enterprise Size, 2020 to 2024
    • Absolute $ Opportunity Analysis By Enterprise Size, 2025 to 2035
  8. Japan Market Analysis 2020 to 2024 and Forecast 2025 to 2035, By Industry
    • Introduction / Key Findings
    • Historical Market Size Value (USD Million) Analysis By Industry, 2020 to 2024
    • Current and Future Market Size Value (USD Million) Analysis and Forecast By Industry, 2025 to 2035
      • Finance
      • Manufacturing & Resources
      • Distribution Services
      • Services
      • Public Sector
    • Y to o to Y Growth Trend Analysis By Industry, 2020 to 2024
    • Absolute $ Opportunity Analysis By Industry, 2025 to 2035
  9. Market Structure Analysis
    • Competition Dashboard
    • Competition Benchmarking
    • Market Share Analysis of Top Players
      • By Regional
      • By Solution
      • By Enterprise Size
      • By Industry
  10. Competition Analysis
    • Competition Deep Dive
      • Meta
        • Overview
        • Product Portfolio
        • Profitability by Market Segments (Product/Age /Sales Channel/Region)
        • Sales Footprint
        • Strategy Overview
          • Marketing Strategy
          • Product Strategy
          • Channel Strategy
      • Google
      • Amazon
      • Microsoft
      • Apple
  11. Assumptions & Acronyms Used
  12. Research Methodology

List of Tables

  • Table 1: Japan Market Value (USD Million) Forecast by Region, 2020 to 2035
  • Table 2: Japan Market Value (USD Million) Forecast by Solution , 2020 to 2035
  • Table 3: Japan Market Value (USD Million) Forecast by Enterprise Size, 2020 to 2035
  • Table 4: Japan Market Value (USD Million) Forecast by Industry, 2020 to 2035
  • Table 5: Japan Market Value (USD Million) Forecast by Country, 2020 to 2035
  • Table 6: Japan Market Value (USD Million) Forecast by Solution , 2020 to 2035
  • Table 7: Japan Market Value (USD Million) Forecast by Enterprise Size, 2020 to 2035
  • Table 8: Japan Market Value (USD Million) Forecast by Industry, 2020 to 2035

List of Figures

  • Figure 1: Japan Market Pricing Analysis
  • Figure 2: Japan Market Value (USD Million) Forecast 2020-2035
  • Figure 3: Japan Market Value Share and BPS Analysis by Solution , 2025 and 2035
  • Figure 4: Japan Market Y-o-Y Growth Comparison by Solution , 2025-2035
  • Figure 5: Japan Market Attractiveness Analysis by Solution
  • Figure 6: Japan Market Value Share and BPS Analysis by Enterprise Size, 2025 and 2035
  • Figure 7: Japan Market Y-o-Y Growth Comparison by Enterprise Size, 2025-2035
  • Figure 8: Japan Market Attractiveness Analysis by Enterprise Size
  • Figure 9: Japan Market Value Share and BPS Analysis by Industry, 2025 and 2035
  • Figure 10: Japan Market Y-o-Y Growth Comparison by Industry, 2025-2035
  • Figure 11: Japan Market Attractiveness Analysis by Industry
  • Figure 12: Japan Market Value (USD Million) Share and BPS Analysis by Region, 2025 and 2035
  • Figure 13: Japan Market Y-o-Y Growth Comparison by Region, 2025-2035
  • Figure 14: Japan Market Attractiveness Analysis by Region
  • Figure 15: Japan Market Incremental Dollar Opportunity, 2025-2035
  • Figure 16: Japan Market Value Share and BPS Analysis by Country, 2025 and 2035
  • Figure 17: Japan Market Value Share and BPS Analysis by Solution , 2025 and 2035
  • Figure 18: Japan Market Y-o-Y Growth Comparison by Solution , 2025-2035
  • Figure 19: Japan Market Attractiveness Analysis by Solution
  • Figure 20: Japan Market Value Share and BPS Analysis by Enterprise Size, 2025 and 2035
  • Figure 21: Japan Market Y-o-Y Growth Comparison by Enterprise Size, 2025-2035
  • Figure 22: Japan Market Attractiveness Analysis by Enterprise Size
  • Figure 23: Japan Market Value Share and BPS Analysis by Industry, 2025 and 2035
  • Figure 24: Japan Market Y-o-Y Growth Comparison by Industry, 2025-2035
  • Figure 25: Japan Market Attractiveness Analysis by Industry
  • Figure 26: Japan Market - Tier Structure Analysis
  • Figure 27: Japan Market - Company Share Analysis
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Demand for Conversational Commerce in Japan

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